Monday, November 06, 2006

The election suprise!

An inside look at campaigns…

In a few hours the polls will open and we will listen for the first results or exit polls to see what is happening. I can tell you this race is going to surprise a number of people. It is going to be very close and we can expect many legal challenges which will delay results.
It might be weeks before we know if the Republicans hold on to either house.

I think back to the years when I was very active in campaigns. The first campaign I had any connection with was when I went with my Dad to hand out flyers for Tom Dewey who was challenging Franklin D. Roosevelt. Later I worked on my own campaigns and helped others. I remember a very important lesson I learned and it hit me today that the same lesson applies now.

Here it is:

The opposition group always wins.

I am talking about people who are against something. They are anti or against. When something is proposed and a group is dead set against it look out-they will build an organization and a passion that defeats it. I call them the “anti-s” (ant-ties)

In the present election we have the Republican incumbents and the Democrats would normally be the anti-s, but they have miscued or done some things that have placed them in such a position that now the Democrats are the proposers-it is as if they have already won and the Republicans suddenly become the anti-s and have the passion to prevent the Democrats from taking over and installing their liberal agenda. I wrote this in the morning and this evening I saw a former Democratic pollster, Pat Caddell on Fox News at 9:30 PM and he referred to the Republicans who were mad at their congressmen and were going to vote Democratic or not vote. Caddell confirmed my theory by saying they decided the Democrats would not be an acceptable alternative and so they were shifting back to vote Republican. In effect, the Dems have talked so much they have stirred up the Republican base who are now going to vote to prevcnt the Dems from winning. So now, the group in power is the anti-group and is passionate about what it is doing.

This is interesting to watch as it unfolds. Polls show the Republicans moving up fast as their passion grows. Keep up your passion. Find another to encourage to vote,

Another tip for you to observe is that as soon as the election is over it is going to move into court to verify challenged votes. It may be weeks before we know the outcome. Please keep in mind that the leaders of your county control the purse strings and arrange the purchase of voting machines, hiring poll workers and so on. Most of the problems that develop are in major cities that are usually liberal and controlled by Democratic established budgets. Most of these cities have voted as expected by their leadership. When a change takes place it is a little late for the party in power to complain about the equipment they selected and installed and in some areas have used for years.
You will find a balance in votes across the nation, lose some here, gain some there and it balances out so it was not a big problem in the past. When we start fine tuning one or two dominate areas we are going to have to fine tune them all which we should have done years ago.
We can do electronic banking with safety and convenience. It is not conceivable that we cannot establish a safe and accurate electronic voting system. The banks could do it for us.

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